British venture capital house Fuel Ventures predicts a fresh wave of Chinese investment could be headed for the UK—potentially amounting to $33 billion—if Donald Trump’s second presidency prompts a steep decline in Chinese funding for the United States.
The firm’s projections follow a stark drop in Chinese investment during Trump’s first term, when flows to America fell by more than 80 per cent across two years.
Mark Pearson, founder of Fuel Ventures, says the UK’s dynamic tech sector and strong innovation track record make it a prime destination for displaced Chinese capital. “We predict around $33 billion is up for grabs from Chinese companies in the coming years, and the UK only stands to benefit,” Pearson explains, adding that interest has already risen as major Chinese investors reassess their exposure to the US.
Statistica figures show that Chinese investment in the United States plummeted by 36 per cent when Trump took office and tumbled a further 83 per cent the following year. Fuel Ventures projects that if these patterns repeat, Chinese inflows could slump from $28 billion in 2023 to just $10 billion in Trump’s first year back in office in 2025, before sliding to $3 billion thereafter.
Chinese investors’ long-held preference for UK education—fuelled by leading universities and secondary schools—further amplifies the UK’s allure, according to Jing Jing Xu, managing director at Fuel Ventures Asia. “Beyond education, the UK lifestyle and cultural ties to Europe make it a reliable, sophisticated gateway to Western markets,” she says.
She also notes that closer ties with Chinese officials—evidenced by a recent meeting with the deputy mayor of Beijing—signal enhanced collaboration opportunities. “We are forging deeper relationships with both the mayor and the Chinese government, highlighting the UK’s potential to deliver advanced technology and long-term growth,” Xu adds.
As the geopolitical landscape evolves, UK tech leaders hope these developments could position Britain as an increasingly attractive destination for international investors seeking a diversified portfolio away from the US.
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Trump presidency could divert $33 billion in Chinese investment to UK, claims VC firm